Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner.
By: Posner, Kenneth A.
Contributor(s): ebrary, Inc.
Material type:
BookPublisher: New York : Columbia Business School Publishing, c2010Description: xv, 267 p. : ill.Subject(s): Investment analysis | Investments -- Forecasting | Business cycles | RecessionsGenre/Form: Electronic books.DDC classification: 332.63/2042 Online resources: An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view | Item type | Current location | Collection | Call number | URL | Copy number | Status | Date due | Item holds |
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E-book
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IUKL Library | Subscripti | http://site.ebrary.com/lib/kliuc/Doc?id=10419632 | 1 | Available |
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.
Electronic reproduction. Palo Alto, Calif. : ebrary, 2013. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ebrary affiliated libraries.
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